This is our basic and primary report.
A list of the win contenders in each race
(every horse with a 10% or higher chance of
winning) for every track, by official track
program number and The Valuline's fair
odds. Valuline odds have been improved
over time and are now almost a perfect
representation of a win contender's chance of
winning.
Here's a condensed illustration of how The
Valuline is presented for each race:
Del Mar - Thursday - August
10, 2006 DMR-2 5.5f DIRT Twelve Horses
P# WP TVL
4 RAGING 22% 7/2
5 SWEET FOREVER 14% 6/1
9 SUN STREAKED 14% 6/1
6 DAISYKILLER 13% 7/1
The chance of winning (win probability "WP")
determines The Valuline (TVL) odds. In
this race, there are four win contenders.
These are the only horses eligible to be
bet to win. The other horses are
"tossed," because of an insufficient chance to
win.
The win bet is determined by track odds -
underlays to TVL odds are passed, overlays are
bet to win. In this race, RAGING was 3/1
track odds, and SUN STREAKED was 7/2. Both
were passed as underlays. SWEET FOREVER
was scratched. This left only DAISYKILLER
at 55/1, and a huge overlay (700%).
(DAISYKILLER won the race)
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