Consistently successful bettors handicap literally dozens of
factors, including performance data from hundreds of past races. Although one
might be able to handicap the races by hand, it is a very time-consuming and
error-prone task. Now that personal computers are widely available, much of the
tedium can be removed from the handicapping process. All you need, in addition
to the raw performance data, are strong computer programming skills and a
thoroughly tested model of race horse performance.
Does that sound intimidating? It should. Dr. Dave Johnson and Dr.
Jerry Kenley have combined a lifelong study of economics and statistics with an
enduring passion for thoroughbred horse racing. Through thousands of hours of
painstaking research, experimentation, and refinement, they have created a very
strong model of race horse performance. They then recruited a team of
experienced programmers to develop powerful computer software that uses their
model to determine a horse's true chance of winning.
Based on each horse's win probability, an odds line is created.
This odds line gives you power at the track by helping you determine which
horses offer the best value.
Some professional handicappers give you a narrative discussion of
a horse's strengths and weaknesses. Others give you snappy key words ("out
winging," "fires when fresh," or "flying late"). But
when, and how, should you actually bet on a horse?
The Thoroughbred Valuline is the answer. Each day, for every
race, for every win contender, it gives you the odds which reflect a horse's
true chance of winning the race. If the actual tote odds are above the Valuline
odds, the horse is a good value and can be bet, with the assurance the odds are
in your favor.
Value betting is the key to making profits at the track. And the
Thoroughbred Valuline is the key to discovering the value bets.